OIL: Oil Traders More Swayed by Turkey Risks Than Iraqi Flows: Bloomberg

Sep-25 16:32

Despite an announcement by the Federal Government of Iraq that it has finally reached a deal to restart exports from the Kurdistan region to Turkey after being offline since March 2023, crude remains supported today, Bloomberg noted.

  • This is likely due to headlines from a recent Trump press conference where he called for Turkey to stop buying Russian crude.
  • Bloomberg noted that this highlights the disproportionate impact Trump’s social media posts are currently having on intraday price movements, compared to market fundamentals.
  • There are also questions as to the volume of additional barrels that will reach the global market from Kurdistan, with many re-diverted to local consumption or smuggled to nearby countries.
  • Brent NOV 25 down 0.2% at 69.15$/bbl
  • WTI NOV 25 down 0.4% at 64.76$/bbl

Historical bullets

US TSY FUTURES: Huge Sep'25/Dec'25 5Y Roll Post

Aug-26 16:19
  • Huge Sep'25/Dec'25 5Y roll just went up - 335,000 sold at -5
  • Helps push total volume in the 5Y roll to 2,350,000.

FED: US TSY TO SELL $85.000 BLN 8W BILL AUG 28, SETTLE SEP 02

Aug-26 16:05
  • US TSY TO SELL $85.000 BLN 8W BILL AUG 28, SETTLE SEP 02

FED: US TSY TO SELL $100.000 BLN 4W BILL AUG 28, SETTLE SEP 02

Aug-26 16:05
  • US TSY TO SELL $100.000 BLN 4W BILL AUG 28, SETTLE SEP 02