OIL PRODUCTS: Oil Products End of Day Summary: Cracks Fall
Oil product cracks have fallen on the day. Gasoline cracks briefly moved into gains after news of an outage at the Colonial Pipeline but returned to losses after confirmation of a restart.
- US gasoline crack down 0.3$/bbl at 17.3$/bbl
- US ULSD crack down 1.1$/bbl at 33.78$/bbl
- Colonial Pipeline has restarted the largest US fuel pipeline network after shutting the system early Oct. 2 for unplanned maintenance, Bloomberg reported.
- European ARA Gasoil stocks edged slightly higher on the week to continue on its trend higher seen since late-July, according to the latest Insights Global Data cited by Bloomberg. Gasoline stocks also rose slightly.
- Singapore total oil inventories rose in the week to Oct. 1 by 850kbbl to 47.749mbbl for the first increase since early September, according to Enterprise data cited by Bloomberg.
- A fire that broke out at Pertamina’s 170k b/d Dumai refinery late on Oct. 1 likely forced a run cut, sources told Argus.
- There were no Russian seaborne gasoline exports last month, Kpler says, for the first time since its records began.
- India’s diesel exports to Europe probably hit an all-time high in September as traders cashed in on robust profits in the west during a refinery maintenance season, Reuters reports.
- Fuel oil imports to the USGC surged to a 2.5 year high in September, driven by a jump in cargoes from the Middle East, Reuters said.
- Russian owners of NIS have offered concessions regarding the ownership structure and sources of crude imports to avoid the upcoming US sanctions, according to Serbia President Aleksandar Vucic cited by Bloomberg.
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US: President Trump To Make 'Space HQ' Announcement Shortly
US President Donald Trump is shortly due to appear in the Oval Office to announce that US Space Command will be relocated from Colorado to Alabama, reversing a decision from former President Joe Biden not to move the command. LIVESTREAM
- Politico notes: "The decision ends a bitter yearslong turf war between Alabama and Colorado leaders over the best home for the unit. Each side argued the other benefited from politically motivated decisions by either Trump or Biden to reward states that voted for them."
- The Oval Office announcement is Trump's first public appearance since a Cabinet meeting last Tuesday. Trump's light schedule since that meeting has fueled social media speculation over his health, despite several trips to his golf course in Virginia and a regular stream of Truth Social posts.
- The announcement is likely to be accompanied by ad hoc remarks to the press on a range of issues. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told the Washington Examiner yesterday that Trump may declare a 'national housing emergency' this fall to address rising house prices – a ‘core issue’ for the Trump administration in the coming months.
- Bessent told Fox News in a separate interview that “all options are on the table” for further sanctions on Russia, after Trump’s first deadline for Russian President Vladimir Putin to make progress on peace talks with Ukraine passed yesterday.
USDJPY TECHS: Approaching Resistance
- RES 4: 151.62 61.8% retracement of the Jan 10 - Apr 22 bear leg
- RES 3: 150.92 High Aug 1 and a key resistance
- RES 2: 149.81 76.4% retracement of the Aug 1 - 14 bear leg
- RES 1: 148.79/149.12 Intraday high / 61.8% of Aug 1 - 14 bear leg
- PRICE: 148.12 @ 16:09 BST Sep 2
- SUP 1: 146.21 Low Aug 14 and bear trigger
- SUP 2: 145.86 Low Jul 24
- SUP 3: 145.40 50% retracement of the Apr - Aug upleg
- SUP 4: 145.19 Trendline drawn from the Apr 22 low
USDJPY traded higher Tuesday but for now, remains inside its range. Resistance to watch is 148.78, the Aug 22 high. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would highlight a range breakout and a stronger bullish theme. This would also undermine the recent bear threat. A breach would open 149.12, a Fibonacci retracement. The bear trigger lies at 146.21, Aug 14 low. Clearance of this level would resume a downtrend that started in August.
EURGBP TECHS: Clears Resistance
- RES 4: 0.8769 High Jul 28 and the bull trigger
- RES 3: 0.8744 High Aug 7
- RES 2: 0.8728 76.4% retracement of the Jul 28 - Aug 14 bear leg
- RES 1: 0.8709 Intraday high
- PRICE: 0.8708 @ 16:08 BST Sep 2
- SUP 1: 0.8625/8597 50-day EMA / Low Aug 14 and the bear trigger
- SUP 2: 0.8562 50.0% retracement May 29 - Jul 28 upleg
- SUP 3: 0.8540 Low Jun 30
- SUP 4: 0.8514 61.8% retracement May 29 - Jul 28 upleg
EURGBP traded higher Tuesday. This has resulted in a breach of resistance at 0.8674, the Aug 25 and 29 high. The break signals a stronger reversal and suggests scope for climb towards 0.8744, the Aug 7 high. Key resistance and the bull trigger is at 0.8769, the Jul 28 high. Key support to watch lies at support at 0.8597, the Aug 14 low. Clearance of this level would instead confirm a resumption of the recent bearish threat.
