OIL PRODUCTS: Oil Products End of Day Summary: Cracks Climb

May-08 18:30

US cracks are trading higher today, supported by a rise in sentiment across the oil complex.

  • US gasoline crack up 0.6$/bbl at 27.7$/bbl
  • US ULSD crack up 0.7$/bbl at 25.81$/bbl
  • ARA oil product stockpiles according to Insights Global: Inventory type, latest level, weekly change (all in kmt) as follows: Gasoline: 1,292, +85, Naphtha: 554, -42, Gasoil: 2,083, -13, Fuel Oil: 1,145, -60, Jet Fuel: 766, -107
  • ExxonMobil’s 564,440 bpd Baytown refinery has reported planned maintenance activities via community alerts.
  • Marathon Petroleum on Thursday reported flaring at its 365,000 b/d refinery in Carson, California, according to a regulatory filing on Thursday.
  • Crude deliveries to Algerian state-owned Sonatrach’s 198k b/d Augusta refinery in Italy were higher April, but it appears a full restart from planned works will take longer than expected, Argus said.
  • Indonesia’s Karimun terminal has ramped up imports of Russian oil products to become a key transshipment hub, Reuters reports.
  • Total oil product stockpiles at Singapore fell by 1.54m bbls w/w to 42.9m bbls as of May 7, down for a second week, according to Enterprise data.
  • Asian crude refining margins have widened to a two-year high due to peak seasonal demand over summer, according to Sparta Commodities cited by Bloomberg.
  • Crude storage capacity utilisation rates among Shandong Independent refineries rose 0.4 percentage points on the week to 41.8% for the seven days to May 9, OilChem said.
  • China’s road traffic congestion in China’s 15 key cities fell sharply during the May Labour Day holiday, BNEF said.

Historical bullets

USDJPY TECHS: Gains Considered Corrective

Apr-08 18:30
  • RES 4: 151.30 High Mar 3   
  • RES 3: 150.33/151.21 50-day EMA / High Mar 28 and reversal trigger 
  • RES 2: 149.00 20-day EMA
  • RES 1: 148.18 Low Mar 20 
  • PRICE: 146.99 @ 16:30 BST Apr 8
  • SUP 1: 144.56 Low Apr 4  
  • SUP 2: 144.13 76.4% retracement of the Sep 16 ‘24 - Jan 10 bull leg
  • SUP 3: 143.43 Low Oct 2 ‘24
  • SUP 4: 142.95 1.00 proj of the Feb 12 - Mar 11 - 28 price swing

USDJPY maintains a bearish tone following last week’s sharp sell-off and the latest recovery is - for now - considered corrective. A resumption of the downtrend and a break of Friday’s 144.56 low would signal scope for an extension towards 144.13, a Fibonacci retracement point. Initial firm resistance to watch is 149.00, the 20-day EMA. Resistance at the 50-day EMA, is at 150.33.

US TSY FUTURES: Curve Steepening Hits New Highs

Apr-08 18:28

Short end support gains traction in late trade, heavy volumes as curves twist steeper: 2s10s +10.26 at 51.71 -- steepest level since mid-February 2022:

2s10s 04082025

US TSY OPTIONS: May'25 10Y Call Spread Buying

Apr-08 18:12
  • +16,250 TYK5 113/114 call spds 11 vs. 111-18/0.11%