OIL: Oil End of Day Summary: Crude Rises

Aug-22 18:15

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WTI has risen today as positive sentiment grows around US interest rate cuts following Powell speaki...

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TARIFFS: Navarro: Take EU-US Trade Deal Reports With "Grain Of Salt"

Jul-23 18:00

A brief risk-off move on a comment by White House adviser Peter Navarro on Bloomberg TV referring to earlier reports of a EU-US trade deal nearing completion that would include a 15% baseline tariff - Navarro says:

  •  "We don't negotiate in public. These other countries aspirationally negotiate in public to try to get us to where they want us to go. I would say even though it was reported on Bloomberg, I would take it with a grain of salt. Never assume anything is fixed until the boss says it is fixed... Let's see what happens."
  • Navarro's comments weren't quite as concrete as initially feared from the headlines ("*NAVARRO ON US-EU DEAL REPORT: TAKE IT WITH A GRAIN OF SALT" -bbg) so the risk-off move (worth about 10 points in the S&P) quickly reversed.
  • Immediate focus is on a reported EU member state vote on tariff countermeasures Thursday in case a deal can't be reached with the US by Aug 1.

EURGBP TECHS: Trend Needle Points North

Jul-23 18:00
  • RES 4: 0.8800 Round number resistance 
  • RES 3: 0.8781 2.236 pro of the Mar 3 - 11 - 28 price swing
  • RES 2: 0.8738 High Apr 11 high and a key resistance
  • RES 1: 0.8698 High Jul 16
  • PRICE: 0.8653 @ 16:07 BST Jul 23
  • SUP 1: 0.8626 20- day EMA
  • SUP 2: 0.8597 Low Jul 7  
  • SUP 3: 0.8561 50-day EMA
  • SUP 4: 0.8508 Low Jun 27

The trend condition in EURGBP remains bullish and the cross continues to trade closer to its recent highs. A bullish price sequence of higher highs and higher lows is intact and note too that moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. A resumption of gains would open key resistance at 0.8738, the Apr 11 high. Support to watch is 0.8626, the 20-day EMA.

US: FED Reverse Repo Operation

Jul-23 17:45

RRP usage slips to $189.632B this afternoon from $196.374B yesterday, total number of counterparties at 30. Usage had fallen to $54.772B on Wednesday, April 16 -- lowest level since April 2021 - compares to July 1: $460.731B highest usage since December 31.

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