US NATGAS: Northeast and Dominion South Natgas Prices Fall

Jul-17 13:30

Dominion South Point was up $0.01/MMBtu yesterday to $2.91/MMBtu.

  • Tetco M3 was down $0.06/MMBtu yesterday to $3.14/MMBtu.
  • Transco Z6 non-NY was down $0.07/MMBtu yesterday to $3.386/MMBtu.
  • Transco Zone 6 NY was down $0.07/MMBtu yesterday to $3.43/MMBtu.
  • Northeast demand was at 39.67 bcf/d, up by around 0.21 bcf/d. Demand is 0.33bcf/d above the 30-day average.
  • End user demand was up 20 mmcf/d to 16.5 bcf/d. This compares to the 30-day average of 15.39 bcf/d.
  • Production in the region was around 35.61 bcf/d, down around 0.38 bcf/d on the day.
  • Production in Appalachia was around 35.02 bcf/d, down around 0.38 bcf/d on the day.
  • Feedgas exports to Cove Point LNG stood at 814 mcf/d, up around 14 mcf/d on the day. This is below the 30-day average of 832 mcf/d.
  • The total supply-demand balance yesterday showed a deficit  of around 3637 mmcf/d, widening from a 3024 mmcf/d deficit the previous day.
  • To the east, compared to the previous GFS 15-day forecast, NYC added 11 CDDs, for a total of 213 CDDs. This was 6 greater than the 10-year normal.
  • To the west, compared to the previous GFS 15-day forecast, Columbus OH  added 24 CDDs, for a total of 226 CDDs. This was 58 CDDs more than the 10-year normal
  • The NE region refers to New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia, and Maryland. All flow and production data is from Bloomberg.

Historical bullets

EQUITIES: US Cash Opening calls

Jun-17 13:28

SPX: 6,015.1 (-0.3%); DJIA: 42,357 (-0.4%/-158pts); NDX: 21,849.6 (-0.4%).

EGB OPTIONS: Large Outright Bobl Put trade

Jun-17 13:25

OEQ5 117p, bought for 18.5 in ~11.2k.

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Sep'25 2Y Buy

Jun-17 13:23
  • +10,500 TUU5 103-19.62, buy through 103-19.38 post time offer at 0906:29ET, DV01 $386,000.
  • The 2Y contract trades 103-19.5 last (+.88).