US NATGAS: New England Natgas Fundamentals

Nov-28 13:28

Warmer-than-normal Boston weather and only modestly short New England gas balances make the near-term setup mildly bearish for Algonquin CG

  • Boston week-ahead weather forecasts are calling for warmer-than-normal weather, bearish for Algonquin CG. Boston cumulative HDDs increased by 0.72 compared with the prior forecast.
  • The New England imbalance is -0.3 Bcf/d today, 0.27 Bcf/d shorter than yesterday and 0.25 Bcf/d shorter than last week.
  • New England demand is 3.7 Bcf/d today, up 0.29 Bcf/d from yesterday and up 0.11 Bcf/d from last week.
  • Appalachian inflows are 3 Bcf/d today, up 0 Bcf/d from yesterday and down 0.05 Bcf/d from last week.
  • Canadian imports reached 0.4 Bcf/d today, up 0.03 Bcf/d from yesterday and down 0.02 Bcf/d from last week.
  • All fundamentals data is BNEF. Current figures as of publishing.

Historical bullets

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Put Spread calendar Spread

Oct-29 13:22

ERU6 98.00/97.87ps vs 0RU6 97.81/97.68ps, bought the mid for 0.5 in 9.5k.

EQUITY OPTIONS: Estoxx downside Put Spread

Oct-29 13:10

SX5E (20th Mar) 4800/4400ps, bought for 16.8 in 17k.

BOC: Instant Answers For Today's Decision

Oct-29 13:08

Following are the questions for MNI Instant Answers for the Bank of Canada decision due out at 0945ET:

  • Target for overnight rate
  • Does the Bank signal it is prepared to lower rates in the future?
  • Does the Bank say lower interest rates will likely be needed in the future?
  • Does the Bank signal it intends to leave rates on hold?
  • Does the Bank mention core or underlying inflation has been elevated?
  • Does the Bank say it may be less forward looking with policy?