POLAND: NBP Say Rate "Adjustment" Justified by Lower CPI
Jul-02 14:21
Highlights from the policy statment (via Bloomberg):
- 2025 CPI at 3.5%-4.4% vs 4.1%-5.7%"
- 2026 CPI at 1.7%-4.5% vs 2%-4.8%
- 2027 CPI at 0.9%-3.8% vs 1.1%-3.9%
- 2025 GDP at 2.9%-4.3% vs 2.9%-4.6%
- 2026 GDP at 2.1%-4.1% vs 1.9%-4%
- Future decisions hinge on data
- Rate ‘adjustment' justified by lower CPI
- CPI to ease next months below 3.5%
Want to read more?
Find more articles and bullets on these widgets:
Historical bullets
US TSY FUTURES: FV Blocked
Jun-02 14:17
Latest block trade lodged at 10:04:49 NY/15:04:49 London:
- FVU5 6.4K lots blocked at 108-05.75, looks like a seller.
- DV01 ~$281K.
FOREX: Fresh Phase of USD Sales Put EUR, JPY Toward Key Breakout Levels
Jun-02 14:09
- EUR/USD pressuring intraday highs on the back of the ISM manufacturing print - the dip in the 10y yield helping aid the move lower in USD across the board, but only EUR/USD and USD/JPY are testing session highs/lows.
- Clearance of 1.1438 puts the pair at the highest since mid-April, narrowing the gap with the 1.1573 bull trigger. For USD/JPY, support has broken at typing, with the pair inside ~40 pips of 142.12 key support.
US TSYS: Stagflatonary ISM Narrative Limits Post-Data Reaction
Jun-02 14:09
A softer-than-expected headline ISM manufacturing survey provides a very light bid, although the underlying stagflationary narrative remains intact with a prices paid component remaining above 69.0 limiting the rally.
- TYU5 adds 0-05+ to 110-24+ following the data before fading back to 110-20+.
- The contract remains within the pre-existing session range (110-18/30).
- Initial support and resistance located at 109-26 & 110-30, respectively. Recent gains still appear corrective at this stage.
- Yields 2.0-3.5bp higher on the day, light bear steepening theme on the curve.
