- There were small surprises in this morning’s
February inflation data, with headline CPI one tenth below the Bloomberg
consensus at 3.4%Y/Y and services CPI one tenth higher at 6.1%Y/Y.
- Indeed, versus the Bank of England’s February
MPR forecasts, headline CPI was a tenth lower than expected and services CPI
was in line with expectations (this followed both being a tenth lower than
forecast in the January print).
- We look at the main contributors to the change in CPI between January and February.
- Given how close the print was to the Bank of England's forecast, we don't think there is a significant impact on tomorrow's MPC meeting.
For the full PDF see:
MNI UK Inflation Insight -March 2024 Release.pdf