US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - White House Teases Trump Announcement

Aug-06 12:18

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  • President Donald Trump will make an “announcement” at the White House at 16:30 ET 21:30 BST. The subject is unclear, but it could be related to new measures against Russia or open Fed/BLS positions.
  • Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter will meet Secretary of State Marco Rubio today to present an “attractive offer” to avert a 39% tariff rate. The absence of meetings with Trump or senior trade officials suggests Switzerland may struggle to secure a deal.   
  • The US trade deficit shrank in June to its lowest level in nearly two years.
  • Within the next week, Trump will announce pharmaceutical tariffs that could rise to 250%. Trump is also expected to announce new tariffs on semiconductors.  
  • Trump has whittled down potential Fed nominees to a shortlist of four.
  • Trump appears to be inching closer to approving a 90-day tariff and export control pause with China.
  • Canadian ministers met Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum yesterday to bolster ties ahead of next year’s USMCA review.
  • Brazil's Finance Minister will speak with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent next week.
  • Trump is preparing an executive order to punish banks that discriminate against conservatives.
  • Trump negotiator Steve Witkoff met Russian President Vladimir Putin ahead of Trump's deadline for reaching a ceasefire agreement with Ukraine.
  • Trump said a decision to occupy Gaza is “pretty much up to Israel”.
  • Poll of the Day: Friday’s disappointing jobs report appears to be resonating with Americans. 

Full Article: US DAILY BRIEF

Historical bullets

SPAIN T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: On offer this week

Jul-07 12:01

Tesoro Publico has announced it will be looking to sell a combined E2.0-3.0bln of the following letras at its auction tomorrow, July 8:

  • the 3-month Oct 10, 2025 letras
  • the 9-month Apr 10, 2026 letras

EUR: EURGBP Targets the immediate support.

Jul-07 11:45
  • The EUR is mostly mixed against G10s, the Stokkie is still the best performer following the rise in Inflation for Sweden.
  • The Kiwi sits at the other end, down 0.56% but off its worst earlier levels, after EURNZD rallied to its highest level since mid April heading into the European session.
  • EURGBP targets the next immediate support at 0.8606, this was last Thursday's low.
  • A clear break through the figure would challenge 0.8550/0.8503 20- and 50-day EMA values, but given that the main focus is on Tariffs this Week, some of the momentum could be somewhat more contained.

PIPELINE: Early Corporate Bond Roundup: IADB, Shinhan, Nissan Motors on Tap

Jul-07 11:44
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 07/07 $Benchmark IADB 10Y 
  • 07/07 $Benchmark Nissan Motor 5Y 7.25%a, 7Y 7.75%a, 10Y 8%a
  • 07/07 $Benchmark Shinhan Financial 5Y +63
  • 07/07 $Benchmark NTT Finance Corp multi tranche investor calls: 2Y, 3Y fix/SOFR, 5Y fix/SOFR, 7Y, 10Y, 12Y -- in addition to EUR issuance 2Y, -4Y, 8Y and 12Y