US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - US Daily Brief

Sep-29 12:06
  • Congress has edged closer to approving a short-term funding measure to avoid a government shutdown.
  • More than two million Florida residents are without power after Hurricane Ian made landfall on Florida’s Gulf coast yesterday evening.
  • Democrat Senate candidates continue to maintain polling leads in battleground states.
  • Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen intends to remain in her post and complete work on two key projects.
  • Biden administration officials held calls with Danish counterparts as the fallout continues from the Nordstream leaks.

Historical bullets

MNI: GERMANY AUG FLASH CPI +0.3% M/M (FCST +0.4%); JUL +0.9% M/M

Aug-30 12:03



  • MNI: GERMANY AUG FLASH CPI +0.3% M/M (FCST +0.4%); JUL +0.9% M/M
  • GERMANY AUG FLASH CPI +7.9% Y/Y (FCST +7.8%); JUL +7.5% Y/Y
  • GERMANY AUG FLASH HICP +0.4% M/M (FCST +0.4%); JUL +0.8% M/M
  • GERMANY AUG FLASH HICP +8.8% Y/Y (FCST +8.8%); JUL +8.5% Y/Y

MARKET INSIGHT: What to Watch: Housing, Consumer Confidence, Fed Speak, Geopol

Aug-30 12:00

US Tsy futures trading firmer, holding near overnight highs after German state CPI results (0.3% MoM vs. 0.4% est, slightly cooling more hawkish ECB policy rhetoric since Fri) lent to bounce off overnight lows. Despite the strong bounce in the short end, yield curves scaling back from Mon's highs, 2s10s -3.296 at 35.785.

  • Economic data kicks off at 0900ET:
    • FHFA House Price Index MoM (1.4%, 0.8%); QoQ (4.6%, --)
    • S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA (1.32%, 0.75%
    • S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA (20.5%, 19.0%) followed by:
    • Conf. Board Consumer Confidence (95.7, 97.4) at 1000ET
    • JOLTS Job Openings (10.698M, 10.300M), 1000ET
  • Fed Speak:
  • Richmond Fed Barkin eco-outlook, Huntington Regional CoC conf 0800ET
  • NY Fed Williams economic outlook at 1100ET, WSJ event

  • Geopol: Several items to keep an eye on:
    • New COVID Lockdown Imposed Around Beijing As CCP National Congress Nears;
    • Russia Foreign Ministry Spox-Baltics Have Taken 'Russophobic' Approach: Comments from the Russian Foreign Ministry stating that it believes Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania have taken a 'Russophobic' approach to their foreign policy;
    • Iraqi Gov't-Political Unrest Not Hitting Oil Exports: The Iraqi capital Baghdad has seen significant political unrest emerge over the past 24 hours following annc by influential politician and Shia Muslim cleric Moqtada al-Sadr that he would be retiring from the political stage.

BUNDS: Ahead of the national CPI print

Aug-30 11:57
  • Ahead of the national CPI print, Bund futures are up now 0.44 today at 149.05 having traded in a 148.32-149.32 range today.
  • 10y Bund yields are down -4.4bp at 1.456% and Schatz yields down -4.7bp at 1.035%.