US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Federal Judge Weighs Lisa Cook's Firing

Aug-29 12:38

Download Full Report Here

Executive summary:

  • President Donald Trump has no public events on his official White House schedule.
  • At 10:00 ET 15:00 BST, a DC federal court will review Fed Governor Lisa Cook’s request for an emergency block on her termination from the Central Bank. FHFA Director Bill Pulte filed a second criminal referral on Cook to the DOJ.
  • CEA Chair Stephen Miran is likely to be confirmed to the Fed board in time for September's policy meeting.
  • The “de minimis” provision was terminated this morning.
  • The European Commission detailed proposals for the implementation of the US-EU trade agreement.
  • Japan continues to press the US to implement lower tariffs on autos.
  • The leaders of China, Russia, and India will meet at the SCO on Sunday as Trump's trade policies push BRICS members into closer alignment.
  • Indian PM Narendra Modi insisted India maintains good relations with the US, ahead of a meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba today.
  • Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva authorised the start of a process to potentially retaliate against US tariffs.
  • Chicago is likely to be the next Democrat-run city targeted by Trump's federal law enforcement operations.
  • A Ukrainian delegation is in Washington to discuss security guarantees with Trump officials.
  • The E3 triggered 'snapback' UN sanctions on Iran.
  • The US and Venezuela appear increasingly close to an armed confrontation.  
  • Poll of the Day: California Governor Gavin Newsom is ‘surging’ in 2028 primary polling.

Please find the full article attached below: US DAILY BRIEF

Historical bullets

US TSYS: Post-Core PCE, GDP React

Jul-30 12:34
  • Fast two-way flow -- Treasury futures bounce then extend lows after higher than expected GDP and Core PCE figures. Tsy Sep'25 10Y futures currently trades -6.5 at 111-05 (111-03.5 low, 111-14.5 high).
  • Key support is 110-08+, the Jul 14 and 16 low. Clearance of this level would reinstate a bearish theme. First support is at 110-19+, the Jul 24 low. Resistance at 111-13+, the Jul 10 high, has been pierced. A clear break of it would highlight a stronger reversal and open 111-28, the Jul 3 high.
  • Curves mildly flatter now: 2s10s -0.091 at 44.854, 5s30s -0.507 at 95.021
  • New pullback lows for EUR/USD as the greenback builds again on the better-than-expected GDP headline. EUR/USD comfortably through yesterday's lows to open 1.1454 as the next downside target.

MNI: US Q2 NOM PCE +1.4%

Jul-30 12:30
  • MNI: US Q2 NOM PCE +1.4%
  • US Q2 REAL FINAL SALES TO PRIVATE DOMESTIC PURCH +1.2%
  • US Q2 PCE PRICE INDEX +2.1%
  • US Q2 CORE PCE PRICE INDEX +2.5%

MNI: US Q2 GDP +3.0%

Jul-30 12:30
  • MNI: US Q2 GDP +3.0%