EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- Former Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker thinks the Fed will keep rates on hold for much of the year if not the whole year.
- He also believes the market's assumption that the next move is a cut is premature: "If it gets to December and inflation is 4% at an annual rate, they should raise rates, even if unemployment is rising."
- Lacker thinks the Fed should be comprehensive in its framework review and avoid a "skinny" review. In particular, he wants the Fed to be more specific about how it defines the full employment side of its mandate.
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