EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- ADP chief economist Nela Richardson sees a "slow grind" in the labor market as hiring weakens and employment shows a lack of dynamism.
- However, the slowdown will not likely be enough to trigger Fed rate cuts this year, particularly considering strong wage growth and uncertainty about the path of inflation in a high tariff environment, she added.
- Richardson, a member of the Cleveland Fed's Financial Markets Advisory Council, is most worried about how small businesses will fare -- and whether their hesitancy to hire new workers turns into outright layoffs.
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