MNI: Iranian Crude Flows But Risks Grow on JCPOA Collapse

Oct-02 13:19By: Lawrence Toye
Gasoil+ 14

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Executive Summary:

  • The return of snapback sanctions on Iran in and of itself is unlikely to impact its oil exports.

  • Chinese buyers are likely to continue buying Iranian crude, using circumvention methods to obtain it.

  • The real risk to the collapse of the JCPOA is worsening diplomatic relations with Iran and the West.

  • An even more isolated Iran risks a renewed conflict with Israel, putting Persian Gulf oil flows in jeopardy.

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