Along
with a 75bp hike at the September meeting, the FOMC will attempt to cement “higher
for longer” rate pricing.
With
changes to the statement likely to be limited, immediate focus will be on the
Dot Plot’s end-2022 median rate forecast and the 2023 “terminal” rate, for
which sell-side expectations center on 3.9% and 4.2%, respectively.
MNI
sees a flatter Fed funds rate “Dot Plot” than consensus, though risks to the 2023
Dot lie to the upside of 4.1%.
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