Structural positioning continues to move toward the long side across European bond futures.
There are now no contracts in "short" territory, while there are two "very long". Overall, contracts are the longest/least short they have been since autumn 2024.
Trade in the latest week (excluding the May 1 holiday for EGBs) was mostly indicative of long-setting.
GERMANY: German contracts have consistently headed away from "short" territory since mid-March, led by Schatz and Bobl, which are now "very long"/"long", respectively. Bund and Buxl are each in flat positioning, but this compares to "very short/short" a month ago. Shorts were set in Schatz in the last week, with longs reduced in Bobl and Bund. Buxl saw longs set."
OAT: OAT has returned to "flat" structural positioning, after a spell in short territory. The most recent week's trade was indicative of long setting.
GILT: Gilt structural positioning has notably shifted to" very long", compared with "flat" where it spent most of then prior 7 months. The latest week saw some some longs set. BTP: BTP has returned to its typical "long" territory vs "flat" in our prior update, with some some long-setting seen in the most recent week.