MNI EU Credit Weekly: Easy Does It

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Sep-12 15:14By: Donal Golden and 5 more...
EU Utilities+ 14

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Executive Summary: 

  • Spreads tightened 4bp with risk on driven by rate cut expectations. Ongoing geopolitical tensions failed to derail sentiment. Low supply gave cash credit a technical boost.
  • In macro, USTs twist flattened as inflation fears ebbed following payrolls. DBRs bear flattened following a hawkish ECB press conference.
  • Looking ahead, the FOMC meeting next week should be the main event. A 25bp cut is expected.
  • Supply fell to €7bn. Aggregate books were particularly strong with NICs snapping a widening streak as the average NIC fell by 2bp. A similar amount is expected next week.