Gilts off early lows after yesterday’s low in futures holds, but a bid in European equities limits the recovery.
- A reminder that spillover from the hawkish repricing in the EUR short end drove much of the recent sell off.
- Gilt futures trade as low as 90.63 before recovering to ~90.70 last.
- Support clustered at 90.62/53, while resistance comes in at 91.16.
- A break of the support cluster would deepen the recent bearish move and negate a bullish technical theme.
- Yields 0.5-1.5bp higher vs. closing levels, curve a touch flatter.
- Gilt bulls still can’t force a sub-165bp close in the gilt/Bund spread, although the differential continues to hover around recently registered ’25 lows, last 166.5bp.
- GBP short end pricing little changed vs. pre-gilt open levels.
- The previously detailed BoE TSC hearing headlines the UK calendar today (14:15 London).
- On the supply front, the DMO will sell GBP750mln of the 4.25% Jun-32 gilt via a tender operation this morning.