UK DATA: Mixed UK activity data

May-15 06:11

You are missing out on very valuable content.

Interesting mix: monthly GDP (which doesn't include trade) boosted by a strong services print of 0.4...

Historical bullets

UK DATA: Hard to get a great reading from the labour market data at first glance

Apr-15 06:05
  • AWE Earnings a tenth weaker than expected for both total economy and private regular.
  • The LFS employment change was a bit higher than expected (but unemployment rate was still in line with consensus).
  • It looks as though there is a big downward surprise to the flash HMRC payrolls print.
  • No huge movement and hard to really get a great reading from the data at first glance. Will look into the details now and follow up.

MNI: UK MAR CLAIMANT CHG +18700

Apr-15 06:00
  • MNI: UK MAR CLAIMANT CHG +18700
  • UK MAR CLAIMANT RATE +4.7%
  • UK FEB AVE WEEKLY EARNINGS +5.6% YY
  • UK FEB AVE WEEKLY EARNINGS EX-BONUS +5.9% YY

EURJPY TECHS: Trend Needle Points North

Apr-15 06:00
  • RES 4: 165.43 High Nov 8        
  • RES 3: 164.90 High Dec 30 ‘24 and a key medium-term resistance   
  • RES 2: 164.55 High Jan 7
  • RES 1: 163.55/164.19 High Apr 14 / High Mar 18 and the bull trigger 
  • PRICE: 162.39 @ 06:59 GMT Apr 15 
  • SUP 1: 161.03/158.30 50-day EMA / Low Apr 7 and key support   
  • SUP 2: 157.02 76.4% retracement of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 bull cycle  
  • SUP 3: 155.60 Low Low Mar 4  
  • SUP 4: 154.80 Low Low Feb 28  

Recent weakness in EURJPY appears corrective and the strong rally from the Apr 7 low reinforces a bullish theme. Key short-term support has been defined at 158.30, the low on Apr 7. A break of this level is required to signal scope for a deeper retracement. This would open 157.02, a Fibonacci retracement. For bulls, a continuation higher would expose 164.19, the Mar 18 high and the bull trigger. A break of this hurdle would resume the uptrend.