STIR: Mix Of Positioning Swings Seen In SOFR Futures On tuesday

Mar-19 10:44

OI data suggests that a mix of net long cover (dominant in SFRH5 though Z5), long setting and short cover was seen as the SOFR strip twist flattened on Tuesday.

  • The net long cover in the very front end provided the most prominent positioning move.

 

18-Mar-25

17-Mar-25

Daily OI Change

 

Daily OI Change In Packs

SFRZ4

1,067,843

1,065,122

+2,721

Whites

-52,129

SFRH5

1,188,797

1,238,894

-50,097

Reds

-32,017

SFRM5

1,273,025

1,275,442

-2,417

Greens

+28,759

SFRU5

922,686

925,022

-2,336

Blues

+1,310

SFRZ5

1,039,920

1,069,863

-29,943

 

 

SFRH6

661,849

659,976

+1,873

 

 

SFRM6

649,891

650,041

-150

 

 

SFRU6

596,986

600,783

-3,797

 

 

SFRZ6

797,357

786,673

+10,684

 

 

SFRH7

511,041

504,246

+6,795

 

 

SFRM7

473,500

469,010

+4,490

 

 

SFRU7

306,379

299,589

+6,790

 

 

SFRZ7

412,510

414,250

-1,740

 

 

SFRH8

213,458

217,285

-3,827

 

 

SFRM8

191,070

183,666

+7,404

 

 

SFRU8

130,545

131,072

-527

 

 

Historical bullets

BONDS: BTP/Bund spread tests immediate support area

Feb-17 10:40
  • The BTP/Bund spread is back at the 106.00bps level, 1.9bp tighter so far on the Day.
  • The spread has found support multiple time at this level, back in December, January and also this Month.
  • Technically, we could be having a falling wedge, would be bullish, but investors will be watching how it develops at these lower levels.
  • A clear break through 106.00bps, opens to the Psychological 100.00, although better will be seen nearer the ~97.7bps area.

(Chart source: MNI/Bloomberg).

BTP Bund 17 02 25

NETHERLANDS: 2.5/5.5-month DTCs

Feb-17 10:37
Type2.5-month DTC5.5-month DTC
MaturityApr 29, 2025Jul 30, 2025
AmountE1blnE1.56bln
TargetE1.0-2.0blnE1.0-2.0bln
PreviousE1.92blnE1.47bln
Avg yield2.452%2.355%
Previous2.613%2.320%
Bid-to-cover2.95x1.9x
Previous1.84x1.3x
Previous dateJan 20, 2025Feb 03, 2025

GERMAN T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 12-Month Bubill

Feb-17 10:31
Type12-month bubill
MaturityFeb 18, 2026
AllottedE2.18bln
PreviousE1.905bln
Total soldE3bln
TargetE3bln
Avg yield2.096%
Previous2.402%
Bid-to-cover1.63x
Previous3.22x
Bid-to-offer1.19x
Previous2.05x
Previous dateJan 13, 2025