EQUITIES: Midday Equities Roundup: Paring Early Gains

Oct-31 16:31
  • Stocks are holding trading mixed at midday Friday, off early session highs with the DJIA underperforming after leading Thursday's advances. Geopolitical tensions appear to be at least one factor in play after Miami Herald headlines announced Pres Trump's decision to launch attacks on Venezuelan military sites "linked to drugs ... at any moment". Trump later denied imminent attacks when speaking to reporters on Air Force One.
  • Potential month-end portfolio rebalancing could be another factor for stocks reversing earlier gains.
  • Currently, the DJIA trades down 6.87 points (-0.01%) at 4,7517.01, S&P E-Minis up 13.5 points (0.2%) at 6869.25, Nasdaq up 151.9 points (0.6%) at 23,733.1
  • A mix of Materials, Utilities, Consumer Staples and Health Care sector shares led the midday decline:Dexcom -14.81%, Monolithic Power Systems -11.26%, Erie Indemnity -6.08%, Arthur J Gallagher -5.80%, AbbVie -4.13%, Solstice Advanced Materials -3.39%, Moderna -3.20% and Stryker Corp -2.91%.
  • Conversely, Consumer Discretionary and Energy sector shares outperformed: Discretionary led by Amazon +10.75%, MGM Resorts Int +3.65%, Tesla +2.97%, Carnival +1.91% and DoorDash +1.41%. Advances in the Energy sector were led by Expand Energy +2.39%, Chevron +2.32%, Targa Resources +2.03% and EQT C+1.43%.
  • Of note, the latest earnings cycle is approximately 70% complete with the following expected Monday Morning: ON Semiconductor, Ares Management, Cipher Mining Inc.

Historical bullets

US: Senate Rejects GOP Funding Bill, Shutdown Continues

Oct-01 16:27

The United States Senate has rejected a House Republican funding bill for the third time, ensuring the US government will remain shut until at least Friday. There was no change in the vote count, with all Republicans (except Senator Rand Paul [R-KY]) and three Democrats voting in favour of the CR. The vote followed a separate ballot on a Democrat-led funding bill that also failed. Both outcomes were expected. 

  • Democrat Senators John Fetterman (D-PA), Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV), and (Democrat-aligned Independent) Angus King (I-ME) voted in favour of the CR, as they did yesterday.
  • Senators Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), Maggie Hassan (D-NH), and retiring Gary Peters (D-MI), the group that (along with the above and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer [D-NY]) voted to keep the government open in March, again voted against the CR.
  • A short time ago, Max Cohen at Punchbowl News reported that Shaheen "says she will continue to vote no on GOP CR [and] thinks she can get a deal that includes an ACA credit fix when the House returns... says she’s in talks with Republicans on this."
  • While there hasn't been any movement on the vote tally, a bipartisan group of Senators huddled on the floor for an extended period, which might suggest some informal discussions are underway.
  • Senator Peters, one of the above swing votes, and Senator Mike Rounds (R-SD), who has floated a one-year extension to the Obamacare subsidies as a potential offramp, were among the group.
  • Burgess Everett at Semafor notes, "From what I could tell one thing beyond discussed on the floor that Dems are wondering if there’s a shorter term CR that could set up quicker negotiations on the ACA subsidies"

US STOCKS: Midday Equities Roundup: Health Care & Utilities Outperforming

Oct-01 16:15
  • Stocks gaining ahead midday Wednesday, political distractions at bay as focus turns to fundamentals rather than the US Government shutdown as of midnight Tuesday. Additional support for equities could be tied to the Supreme Court denying Pres Trump's demand to fire Fed Gov Cook, allowing her to stay on at least until oral argument on the case is heard in January 2026.
  • Currently, the DJIA trades up up 56.81 points (0.12%) at 46453.89, S&P E-Minis up 6.75 points (0.1%) at 6745.5, Nasdaq up 39.5 points (0.2%) at 22698.78.
  • Leading gainers ahead midday included Health Care and Utility sector shares, pharmaceuticals leading the former: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals +9.06%, Moderna +8.75%, Biogen +7.67%, Amgen +6.75% and Eli Lilly +6.66%.
  • The Utilities sector was buoyed by AES, the energy company surging 16% higher in the first half as wires reported BlackRock's GIP is in advanced talks to purchase the company. Follow-through support for other energy companies includes: Constellation Energy +3.79%, Vistra +3.33%, PG&E +3.18% and NextEra Energy +2.41%.
  • Conversely, Materials and Communication Services sectors led decliners by midday. Weighing on Materials: Corteva -7.05%, Ecolab -1.95%, Linde -1.92% and Eastman Chemical -1.53%. Meanwhile, News Corp -5.62%, Interpublic Group -4.12% and Omnicom Group -3.95% weighed on the Communication sector in the first half.

OPTIONS: Larger FX Option Pipeline

Oct-01 16:00
  • EUR/USD: Oct03 $1.1700(E1.2bln), $1.1845-55(E2.2bln), $1.1875(E1.2bln); Oct06 $1.1700(E1.1bln); Oct07 $1.1650(E1.8bln), $1.1750(E1.0bln), $1.1820(E1.7bln)
  • USD/JPY: Oct03 Y148.00($1.0bln); Oct06 Y147.00($1.3bln)
  • EUR/GBP: Oct03 Gbp0.8785-05
  • AUD/USD: Oct03 $0.6600(A$1.5bln); Oct06 $0.6700(A$1.1bln)
  • NZD/USD: Oct03 $0.6450(N$1.2bln)