REFILE: Mester: Decision Doesn't Have To Be Made Today, Must Act

Jul-13 22:48By: Anthony Barton
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Cleveland Fed President Mester ('22 voter) tells BBG that the Committee doesn't have to make a decision today re: a 100bp rate hike when question on the matter.

  • She flags retail sales & UoM inflation expectations as further inputs into July decision.
  • Notes that today's CPI report was uniformly bad, stressing that inflation remains unacceptably high, with a need to make sure inflation turns the corner and is on a downward path. She highlights that there is more work to do and a need to continue on the tightening path.
  • Notes that the Fed must be very intentional re: policy moves.
  • Not seeing any convicning evidence that inflation has peaked.
  • Expect the Fed will have to go well beyond the "neutral rate."
  • Risk of recession has gone up, part of policy move is trying to normalise demand.