BRAZIL: Manufacturing PMI Slips to Lowest Since 2023

Aug-01 13:02

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Brazil Manufacturing PMI (Jul) M/M 48.2 (Prev. 48.3) - Lowest reading since July 2023 - Bloomberg *...

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EUR: Weekly FX Exchange Traded Option

Jul-02 12:59

FX Exchange traded Weekly Option, short Term play, Covers NFP.

  • EURUSD (7th July) 1.1700p bought for 0.0014 in 1.96k.

The underlying is higher than the Spot at 1.1812.

US TSYS: Post-ADP React UPDATE

Jul-02 12:53
  • Treasury futures have retreated from post June ADP job loss highs, near open levels
  • Currently, Sep'25 10Y trades -6.5 at 111-21 (111-18L / 111-30.5H).
  • Attention back on first key support to watch is 111.07+, the 20-day EMA. Important resistance at 112-15, the 61.8% retracement of the Apr 7 - 11 steep sell-off.
  • Curves extend steeper: 2s10s +5.110 at 51.823; 5s30s +4.765 at 97.529.
  • Cross asset: Bbg US$ index firming again: 1191.86 (+2.35), stocks mildly weaker (SPX eminis -10.75 at 6238.0), crude firmer (WTI +0.70 at 66.15), Gold firmer at 3350.89.

GBP: Sterling Weakness Extends, GBPUSD 20-Day EMA Holds For Now

Jul-02 12:52
  • The small pop higher for GBPUSD following the weaker-than-expected US ADP has been quickly faded, with cable extending fresh session lows in recent trade and the pair quickly slipping below 1.36 alongside the weakness for gilts.
  • Spot has traded down to within 3 pips of initial 20-day EMA support which lies at 1.3586 and has been respected for now. A break of this average would signal scope for a more pronounced corrective pullback. The 50-day, which has supported dips well in recent months, intersects at 1.3439.
  • For EURGBP, this week’s gains are reinforcing current bullish conditions. 0.8592, 61.8% of the Apr 11 - May 29 downleg, has been broken, as well as 0.8624, the Apr 21 high. Above here, the next significant targets are 0.8694 and 0.8738, the Apr 14 & 11 highs respectively.