US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (M5) Key Support Remains Exposed

May-23 15:16
  • RES 4: 112-20+ High May 1 and a bull trigger 
  • RES 3: 112-01+ High May 2 
  • RES 2: 111-22   High May 7
  • RES 1: 110-21+ High May 16 and a key near-term resistance
  • PRICE:‌‌ 110-01 @ 16:05 BST May 23
  • SUP 1: 109-13   Low May 22
  • SUP 2: 109-08   Low Apr 11 and key support
  • SUP 3: 108-26+ 76.4% retracement of the Jan 13 - Apr 7 bull cycle
  • SUP 4: 108-21   Low Feb 19  

A bear cycle that started early May in Treasury futures remains in play, affirmed by the weakness off intraday highs on Friday. The recent breach of 110-01+, 76.4% of the Apr 11 - May 1 bull leg, strengthened a bearish theme and has exposed key support at 109-08, the Apr 24 low and a bear trigger. Key near-term resistance has been defined at 110-21+, the May 16 high. A move above this level is required to signal a potential reversal.     

Historical bullets

FED: US TSY 17W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $650 MLN FROM $60.000 BLN TOTAL

Apr-23 15:15
  • US TSY 17W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $650 MLN FROM $60.000 BLN TOTAL

FED: US TSY 2Y FRN AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $17 MLN FROM $30.000 BLN TOTAL

Apr-23 15:15
  • US TSY 2Y FRN AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $17 MLN FROM $30.000 BLN TOTAL

OPTIONS: Expiries for Apr24 NY cut 1000ET (Source DTCC)

Apr-23 14:53
  • EUR/USD: $1.1370(E505mln)
  • USD/JPY: Y140.00($1.8bln), Y145.00($1.4bln)