EU CONSUMER CYCLICALS: Loomis: 3Q Results

With member state leaders holding an informal meeting in the Danish capital today, twenty-eight large European firms have presented them with the 'Copenhagen Pledge'. This says firms "stand ready to increase investment levels in Europe by ~50% towards 2030" should the EU and its member states engage in a series of major reforms. Claims that with reforms and private investment, "Europe could be on track to close most of the ~800EURbn annual investment gap outlined by Draghi."

• The areas of reform identified in the pledge are:
  1. 'Unlock innovation, reduce the regulatory burden and remove barriers to the Single Market' - i.e. protect IP, speed up approval procedures, streamline compliance, mutual qualifications recognition, boost investment in procurement of new tech.
  2. 'Incentivise private investments in Europe to build strategic influence' - i.e. use long-term budget towards capital investment, pension and tax systems to encourage private capital flows into EU markets, commit to 3% of GDP for R&D, and boost joint EU research projects.
  3. 'Power the future of Europe: Clean, competitive, and resilient energy for industrial leadership' - i.e. expand grids, faster permitting for infra, increase clean energy production while ensuring renewable competitiveness
  4. 'Build a competitive and resilient defence industrial base' - i.e. large-scale orders to encourage sector, remove barriers to transnational cooperation, use EU financial instruments to leverage private capital.
  5. 'Advance Europe’s technological resilience' - i.e. ensure EU as a market leader in AI, quantum, green and clean tech, ensure critical infra like 5G and 6G to enable next-gen services. 

SX5E (19th June) 6000/6500cs 1x4, bought for 17.10 and 17.50 in 5k (5kx20k).

• In the equity space, a bull cycle in S&P E-Minis remains intact. Key short-term resistance has been defined at 6756.75, the Sep 22 high where a break would resume the primary uptrend. This would open 6787.63, the 1.382 projection of the Aug 1 - 15 - 20 price swing. On the downside, initial support to watch lies at the 20-day EMA, at 6656.22. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would signal scope for a deeper retracement, potentially towards the 50-day EMA, at 6541.51.
• EUROSTOXX 50 futures maintain a bullish theme. This week’s gains have resulted in a breach of key resistance and the bull trigger at 5525.00, the Aug 22 high. The break confirms a resumption of the uptrend and paves the way for a climb towards 5564.82, a 0.764 projection of the Aug 1 - 22 - Sep 2 price swing, and 5575.00, the Mar 3 high (cont.) and a key resistance. Initial firm support lies at 5452.19, the 20-day EMA.