LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Aug-22 05:23

Date	UK	Period	Event
22-Aug	0930	Aug	S&P Global Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI flash
22-Aug	1100	Aug	CBI Industrial Trends
23-Aug	0001	Aug	Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
23-Aug	2000		BOE's Bailey Speech at Jackson Hole
27-Aug	0001	Aug	BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
27-Aug	1100	Aug	CBI Distributive Trades
30-Aug	0730		DMO to release FQ3 issuance calendar
30-Aug	0930	Jul	BOE M4
30-Aug	0930	Jul	BOE Lending to Individuals
02-Sep	0930	Aug	S&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Manufacturing PMI
03-Sep	0001	Aug	BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
04-Sep	0930	Aug	S&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Services/Composite PMI
05-Sep	0930	Sep	S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI
10-Sep	0700	Jul/Aug	Labour Market Survey
11-Sep	0700	Jul	GDP/ Trade / Services / Production / Construction

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Jul-23 05:23

Date	UK	Period	Event
24-Jul	0001	July	Brightmine pay deals for whole economy
24-Jul	0930	July	S&P Global Flash PMIs
25-Jul	1100	July	CBI Industrial Trends
29-Jul	0930	June	BOE M4/ Lending to Individuals
29-Jul	1100	July	CBI Distributive Trades
30-Jul	0001	July	BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
01-Aug	0930	July	S&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Manufacturing PMI
01-Aug	1200	-	Bank Of England Interest Rate
01-Aug	1230	-	BoE Press Conference
05-Aug	0930	July	S&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Services/Composite PMI
06-Aug	0001	August	BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
06-Aug	0930	July	S&P Global/ CIPS UK Construction PMI
13-Aug	0700	June/July	Labour Market Survey
14-Aug	0700	July	Consumer inflation report/ Producer Prices

Jul-23 05:22

Treasury futures have edged higher throughout the session, with the long-end slightly out-performing after lagging the recovery heading into NY close overnight. Volumes are well down on averages while TU is + 00⅜ at 102-14⅜ and TY is + 03+ at 110-26+.
Tsys flows: Buyer block 6,061 UXY at 114-11 & Block Steepener DV01 318k TU/UXY
The treasury curve has bull-flattened throughout the session with the 2yr -0.7bps at 4.510% and the 10yr -1.4bps at 4.239%. The past week has seen the treasury curve move about 9bps wider with the 2s10s little changed at -27bps over the week after rallying from -43bps in July.
The 1yr USD Inflation Swap is trading near yearly lows at 1.9175, falling 51bps since July 1, futures markets are pricing in just under 2.5 cuts into year-end.
Projected rate cut pricing into year end has receded vs. early Monday levels (*): July'24 at -2.5% w/ cumulative at -0.6bp at 5.323%, Sep'24 cumulative -24.3bp (-25bp), Nov'24 cumulative -38.5bp (-39.5bp), Dec'24 -60.7bp (-62bp)
looking ahead today we have Regional Fed and Existing Home Sales data and $69B 2Y Note auction.

Jul-23 05:18

Date	Time	Country	Event
23-Jul	800	EU	ECB's Lane at ECB/IMF conference in Frankfurt
23-Jul	1500	EU	Consumer Confidence Indicator (p)
24-Jul	700	DE	GFK Consumer Climate
24-Jul	745	EU	ECB's de Guindos at ECB/IMF conference
24-Jul	800	ES	PPI
24-Jul	815	FR	S&P Global Flash PMI (p)
24-Jul	830	DE	S&P Global Flash PMI (p)
24-Jul	900	EU	S&P Global Flash PMI (p)
24-Jul	1300	EU	ECB's Lane at ECB/IMF conference
25-Jul	745	FR	Manufacturing Sentiment
25-Jul	900	EU	M3
25-Jul	900	DE	IFO Business Climate Index
25-Jul		EU	ECB's Cipollone at G20 Fin min/central bank meeting
25-Jul	1400	BE	BNB Business Sentiment
25-Jul	1600	EU	ECB's Lagarde attends Paris Summit

MNI US Macro Weekly: One Week, Two Labor Days

Aug-29 20:08

MNI INTERVIEW: GDP Good Enough For BOC To Hold-Mc Mahon

Aug-29 19:21

MNI BRIEF: No Ruling In Hearing On Firing Of Fed's Cook

Aug-29 18:11