SWEDEN: Long-term Inflation Expectations Back At 2.0%

SFIU5 96.35/96.70cs vs 95.75p, bought the cs for 3.25 in 3k (ref 96.185).

• RES 4: $34.903 - High Oct 23 ‘24 and the bull trigger 
• RES 3: $34.590 - High Mar 28 
• RES 2: $33.117 - 76.4% retracement of the Mar 28 - Apr 7 bear leg  
• RES 1: $32.402 - Intraday high                                       
• PRICE: $32.363 @ 08:08 BST Apr 15
• SUP 1: $30.577/28.351 - Low Apr 10 / 7 and the bear trigger                
• SUP 2: $27.686 - Low Sep 6 ‘24 
• SUP 3: $27.180 - Low Aug 14 ‘24   
• SUP 4: $26.451 - Low Aug 8 ‘24 and a key support   

Silver is holding on to its latest gains. For now, the recent move higher appears corrective. The metal on Apr 7, traded through support at $28.748, the Dec 19 low. A clear break of this level would signal scope for a continued sell-off, towards $27.686, the Sep 6 ‘24 low. On the upside, resistance to watch is $32.213 the 50-day EMA. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would alter the picture and highlight a stronger reversal.

• RES 4: 1.4452/4543 High Mar 13 / 4 and a bull trigger
• RES 3: 1.4415 High Apr 1 
• RES 2: 1.4249 50-day EMA 
• RES 1: 1.4028/4151 Low Apr 3 / Low Feb 14 
• PRICE: 1.3871 @ 08:03 BST Apr 15
• SUP 1: 1.3829/22 Low Apr 14 / Low Nov 6 ‘24
• SUP 2: 1.3744 76.4% retracement of Sep 25 ‘24 - Feb 3 bull run
• SUP 3: 1.3696 Low Oct 10 2024
• SUP 4: 1.3643 Low Oct 9 ‘24 

USDCAD is trading at its recent lows and a bearish theme remains intact. Last week’s move down marked a resumption of the downtrend and has signalled scope for a continuation near-term. Potential is seen for a move towards 1.3744, a Fibonacci retracement. Moving average studies are in a bear -mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend. First resistance to watch is 1.4028, the Apr 3 low.