CHINA PRESS: Logistics Demand Softened Slightly In Q3

Oct-30 02:24

The total value of social logistics reached CNY263.2 trillion for the first three quarters, an increase of 5.4% y/y, decelerating by 0.3 percentage points from H1, Securities Daily reported citing data by China Logistics Information Center. On a quarterly basis, the figure showed a slight downward trend of 5.7%, 5.5% and 5.2% from Q1 to Q3, but Meng Yuan, head of logistics information at CLIC, expects logistics demand to stabilise and rebound in Q4 with the arrival of the traditional peak season for shipping and e-commerce express, the newspaper said.   

Historical bullets

AUSSIE BONDS: Little Changed Ahead Of RBA Policy Decision

Sep-30 02:21

ACGBs (YM -1.0 & XM +1.0) are slightly mixed ahead of the RBA Policy Decision.

  • Building approvals fell 6.0% m/m (estimate +2.6%) in August versus revised -10.0% in July.
  • Private-sector home approvals fell 2.6% m/m versus revised +1.3% in July.
  • Cash US tsys are slightly cheaper, with a steepening bias, in today's Asia-Pac session after yesterday's bull-flattener.
  • MNI SECURITY: Trump Admin Will Proceed w/AUKUS Following Pentagon Review - Nikkei. Nikkei Asia reporting, "The Trump administration will proceed with the AUKUS defence pact linking the U.S., U.K. and Australia, maintaining the original timeline that includes the sale of three Virginia-class submarines to Canberra beginning in 2032..." The report comes after a Pentagon review in June, ordered by US Undersecretary of Defence Elbridge Colby, threw doubt over US participation in the nuclear submarine alliance.
  • Cash ACGBs are 1bp cheaper to 1bp richer with the AU-US 10-year yield differential at +17bps.
  • The bills strip is -1 to -3 across contracts.
  • RBA-dated OIS pricing gives a 25bp rate cut today a 3% probability, with a cumulative 17bps of easing by year-end. 

CHINA PRESS: Stable Operation Of Captial Market To Be Supported

Sep-30 02:03

China’s capital market will continue with its stable and positive development supported by good economic momentum, coordinated policy efforts, and inflows of medium- and long-term funds, said Securities Daily in a commentary. The stock market valuation is returning to a reasonable range at an accelerated pace, which has improved the safety margin of the market and led to insurance and mutual funds increasing their allocation, which will help smooth short-term market fluctuations and guide more rational investment behaviour, the newspaper said.

CHINA: Manufacturing PMI Hits Six Month High

Sep-30 01:55
  • China's RatingDog China PMI Mfg for September was +51.2, up from +50.5 in August and the highest since March.  
  • Having contracted in May and July on trade war related volatility, today's strong release will be pleasing as some signs of the first half strength may not be sustained.  
  • Output was up to 52 from 50.5 in August and New orders were stronger than the month prior and the highest print since February.  
  • RatingDog China PMI Services for September was 52.9 from 53.0 in August.
  • Employment declined to +48.4 from 48.7 for the lowest since April.  
  • Prices charged rose relative to the last month. 
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