Dallas Fed’s Logan ('26 voter, hawk) has echoed her prior views. This from last week: "I think it would be hard to support another rate cut unless we were to get convincing evidence that inflation is really coming down faster than my expectations or that we were seeing more than the gradual cooling that we've been seeing in the labor market". Bloomberg headlines:
Unsurprisingly, it sees her maintain a contingent of incoming ’26 voters who don’t seem in a rush for further rate cuts, with Paulson the least hawkish of the three. From yesterday after the September payrolls release:
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SFIZ5 96.25/96.40/96.50 broken c fly, bought for 4 in 9k.
The trend condition in S&P E-Minis remains bullish and the contract is trading above support at the 50-day EMA. The average, currently at 6627.92, has been pierced but remains intact - for now. Note that the Oct 10 low of 6540.25 marks the key short-term support. Clearance of this level would undermine a bull theme. Moving average studies remain in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. The bull trigger is 6812.25, the Oct 9 high.