STIR: Little Change In Fed Pricing Following Data, 55bp Cuts Showing Through Dec
Aug-29 12:43
Little net change in Fed pricing in the wake of the PCE data, which met wider unrounded expectations...
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US: Trump Post on the US GDP and level of Rates
Jul-30 12:40
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
2Q GDP JUST OUT: 3%, WAY BETTER THAN EXPECTED! “Too Late” MUST NOW LOWER THE RATE. No Inflation! Let people buy, and refinance, their homes!
US TSYS: Post-Core PCE, GDP React
Jul-30 12:34
- Fast two-way flow -- Treasury futures bounce then extend lows after higher than expected GDP and Core PCE figures. Tsy Sep'25 10Y futures currently trades -6.5 at 111-05 (111-03.5 low, 111-14.5 high).
- Key support is 110-08+, the Jul 14 and 16 low. Clearance of this level would reinstate a bearish theme. First support is at 110-19+, the Jul 24 low. Resistance at 111-13+, the Jul 10 high, has been pierced. A clear break of it would highlight a stronger reversal and open 111-28, the Jul 3 high.
- Curves mildly flatter now: 2s10s -0.091 at 44.854, 5s30s -0.507 at 95.021
- New pullback lows for EUR/USD as the greenback builds again on the better-than-expected GDP headline. EUR/USD comfortably through yesterday's lows to open 1.1454 as the next downside target.
MNI: US Q2 NOM PCE +1.4%
Jul-30 12:30
- MNI: US Q2 NOM PCE +1.4%
- US Q2 REAL FINAL SALES TO PRIVATE DOMESTIC PURCH +1.2%
- US Q2 PCE PRICE INDEX +2.1%
- US Q2 CORE PCE PRICE INDEX +2.5%
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