US OUTLOOK/OPINION: US Goods Imports With Highest China Share
Apr-09 19:09
We include apparel in the summary section of the MNI US CPI Preview (here) as around 30% of end-use US imports are from China and apparel forms about 2.5% of the total CPI basket.
Analysts expect a moderation to 0.3% M/M after 0.6% M/M. It’s a noisy category and so should be taken with caution but we’ll nevertheless watch it closely.
Other areas to watch for initial passthrough before potentially much larger increases feedthrough in months ahead after a lurch higher in tariff rates include cell phones, computers and related accessories and electrical apparatus.
The below table is a useful guide of what areas to watch, with the US tariff on China jumping from 20% in March to an announced 104% earlier this week (after China retaliation) and now 125% after today's latest announcement from US President Trump.
US TSY OPTIONS: BLOCK: Large May'25 10Y Put Cross
Apr-09 19:08
30,000 TYK5 108.5 puts, 11 vs. 110-11/0.02% at 1502:29ET
STIR: BLOCK: Jun'25 SOFR Skew Play
Apr-09 19:03
5,000 SFRM5 95.62/95.75 put spds 1.0 over 96.00/96.12 call spds ref 95.915, CME site shows puts sold over at 1454:12ET