SOFR & Treasury options took advantage of the rebound in underlying futures to buy puts/put spreads (Dec SOFR put tree looking at year end Fed on hold), unwind calls with a few exceptions. Not a strong reaction to the June FOMC minutes - while projected rate cut pricing gained momentum vs morning (*) levels: Jul'25 at -1.7bp (-1.2bp), Sep'25 at -18.6bp (-17.3bp), Oct'25 at -33.7bp (-31.7bp), Dec'25 at 52bp (-49.3bp).
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SOFR & Treasury options remain mixed in the second half, volumes picking up in the wings. Underlying futures higher/off highs. Projected rate cut pricing retreats slightly vs. morning levels (*) as follows: Jun'25 steady at 0.0bp, Jul'25 at -3.6bp (-4.1bp), Sep'25 at -17.4bp (-17.9bp), Oct'25 at -29.6bp (-30.6bp), Dec'25 at -44.9bp (-45.9bp).
Bloomberg reports: "US-China trade talks in London will continue tomorrow, according to a person familiar with the talks. Talks to resume at 10a in London" [0500ET].