US STOCKS: Late Equities Roundup: Looking Past Long-Term Deficit Cares for Now
May-22 18:10
- Stocks continued to make modest gains late Thursday, despite concerns over a burgeoning deficit as Pres Trump's tax/spending bill heads to the Senate after passing the House early this morning.
- Currently, the DJIA trades up 163.27 points (0.39%) at 42023.82, S&P E-Minis up 21 points (0.36%) at 5882.75, Nasdaq up 145.5 points (0.8%) at 19018.16.
- Communication Services and Information Technology sectors continued to outperform in lat etrade, interactive media and entertainment shares gained for the second consecutive session with Alphabet +2.53%, Walt Disney +0.89%, Match Group +0.78% and Meta Platforms +0.51%.
- The Tech sector was supported by chip makers and software developers: Palantir Technologies +3.69%, Seagate Technology +3.42%, Palo Alto Networks +2.63% and Crowdstrike Holdings +2.55%.
- On the flipside, Energy and Health Care sectors underperformed in the second half, wires cited passage of the tax/spending bill triggered heavy selling in clean energy companies: Enphase Energy -18.44%, NextEra Energy -7.18%, AES Corp -4.10% and CMS Energy -1.70%.
- Meanwhile, the Health Care sector was weighed down by Humana -4.92%, Medtronic -3.61% and Centene -2.82%.
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EURGBP TECHS: Support Remains Intact
Apr-22 18:00
- RES 4: 0.8800 Round number resistance
- RES 3: 0.8781 2.236 proj of the Mar 3 - 11 - 28 price swing
- RES 2: 0.8768 High Nov 20 ‘23
- RES 1: 0.8624/0.8738 High Apr 21/ High Apr 11 and the bull trigger
- PRICE: 0.8580 @ 16:17 BST Apr 22
- SUP 1: 0.8520 20-day EMA
- SUP 2: 0.8477 61.8% retracement of the Mar 28 - Apr 11 rally
- SUP 3: 0.8442 50-day EMA
- SUP 4: 0.8415 76.4% retracement of the Mar 28 - Apr 11 rally
The latest pullback in EURGBP appears corrective - for now. The retracement has allowed a recent overbought trend condition to unwind. Support to watch lies at 0.8520, the 20-day EMA. Below this level, support at the 50-day EMA is at 0.8442. The area between these two averages represents a key support zone. For bulls, a resumption of gains would refocus attention on 0.8738, the Apr 11 high and bull trigger.
BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: OATs Underperform, UK Curve Bull Steepens
Apr-22 17:58
European FI had a constructive session in the return from a 4-day holiday Tuesday.
- Shrugging off Monday's US Treasury weakness, curves bull steepened early, continuing from Thursday's pre-holiday, post-ECB price action.
- OATs underperformed, with Bloomberg reporting that President Macron is considering calling a snap legislative election in France as soon as the autumn.
- In other developments, BOE's Greene sounded less hawkish on the rate outlook compared with her previous appearances, helping UK rate cut pricing deepen, while Eurozone flash April consumer confidence printed the weakest since November 2023.
- Yields saw a modest spike in the minutes ahead of the cash close on a Bloomberg report that US Treasury Secretary Bessent expects a de-escalation in US-China trade tensions.
- The UK curve bull steepened sharply, with Germany's bull flattening. Periphery EGB spreads were flat/slightly tighter to Bund.
- Tuesday's calendar highlight is flash April PMIs, while we also get UK public sector net borrowing data and an appearance by BOE's Pill, Bailey and Breeden.
Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 2.5bps at 1.661%, 5-Yr is down 3.7bps at 1.982%, 10-Yr is down 2.9bps at 2.443%, and 30-Yr is down 3.7bps at 2.859%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 9bps at 3.83%, 5-Yr is down 6.4bps at 3.98%, 10-Yr is down 2.1bps at 4.545%, and 30-Yr is up 2.9bps at 5.368%.
- Italian BTP spread down 0.7bps at 116.6bps / French OAT up 1bps at 77.5bps
PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: $5.7B to Price Tuesday
Apr-22 17:46
- Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
- 04/22 $2B #State Street $700M 3NC2 +73, $300M 3NC2 SOFR+95, $1B 5Y +85
- 04/22 $1.85B #Kinder Morgan $1.1B 5Y +120, $750M 10Y +150
- 04/22 $1.1B #NY Life Global $700M 3Y +60, $400M 3Y SOFR+88
- 04/22 $750M #Brookfield Asset Management 10Y +140
- 04/22 $Benchmark OCP 5Y, +10Y investor calls
- 04/22 $Benchmark Rentokil investor calls
