OPTIONS: Larger FX Option Pipeline

Mar-30 16:15
  • EUR/USD: Apr04 $1.0795-00(E1.0bln), $1.0950(E1.0bln); Apr05 $1.0900(E3.5bln), $1.1000($2.0bln)
  • USD/JPY: Apr03 Y128.00($1.5bln); Apr04 Y127.00($1.4bln); Apr05 Y133.00($1.0bln)
  • GBP/USD: Apr04 $1.2250(Gbp1.1bln)
  • USD/CAD: Apr04 C$1.3600($1.7bln); Apr05 C$1.3600($1.3bln)
  • USD/CNY: Apr04 Cny6.9000($1.6bln), Cny6.9500($1.3bln)

Historical bullets

US STOCKS: Equity Roundup: Off Recent Lows, Wary Ahead Month End Rebalancing

Feb-28 16:15

Stocks off lows after nearly testing early session lows at midmorning, skittish trade as month-end portfolio rebalancing expected to draw better selling. SPX eminis currently trading +1.75 (0.04%) at 3990.25; DJIA -99.74 (-0.3%) at 32793.05; Nasdaq +24.7 (0.2%) at 11492.34.

  • SPX leading/lagging sectors: Utilities (-0.75%), Consumer Staples (-0.63%) and Health Care (-0.48%) underperforming, the former weighed by electric and multi-utility shares (CEG -2.46%, SRE -1.64%, EXC -1.30%); pharmaceuticals and biotechs weighing on the latter (MRK -1.87%, LLY -1.54%, PFE -1.32%).
  • Leaders: Real Estate (+.98%) lead by industrial and specialized REITs, Materials (+0.79%) and Communication Services (+0.59%) supported by interactive media/entertainment (META +2.96%, NFLX +0.50%).
  • Dow Industrials Leaders/Laggers: American Express (AXP) +1.11 at 174.41, Nike (NKE) +0.78 at 119.31, Visa (V) +0.42 at 220.77. Laggers: Goldman Sachs (GS) -8.58 at 356.95, United Health (UNH) -7.52 at 475.50, Merck (MRK) -2.06 at 107.31.

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: ‌‌(M3)‌‌ Bearish Outlook

Feb-28 16:13
  • RES 4: 113-22 50-day EMA
  • RES 3: 113-03 High Feb 15
  • RES 2: 112-31+ 20-day EMA
  • RES 1: 112-03 High Feb 24
  • PRICE: 111-17 @ 16:08 GMT Feb 28
  • SUP 1: 110-21 Low Feb 24
  • SUP 2: 111-00 2.618 proj of the Jan 19 - Jan 30 - Feb 2 price swing
  • SUP 3: 110-16 Lower 2.0% Bollinger Band
  • SUP 4: 110-06 3.00 proj of the Jan 19 - Jan 30 - Feb 2 price swing

Treasury futures remain in a clear downtrend and price is trading close to its recent lows. Last week’s extension lower maintains the current bearish sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Potential is seen for a move towards the 111.00 handle next, a Fibonacci projection. Moving average studies are in a bear mode position, highlighting current market sentiment. Initial resistance is seen at 112-03, the Feb 24 high.

STIR: Block, Sep'23 SOFR Put Flys

Feb-28 15:47
  • 20,000 SFRU3 94.37/95.06/95.62 put flys, 8.5 ref 94.59 -.595 at 1038ET