OPTIONS: Larger FX Option Pipeline
Nov-09 12:25
- EUR/USD: Nov10 $0.9800(E1.1bln), $0.9860-75(E1.2bln), $0.9900(E1.3bln), $0.9950-55(E1.0bln), $0.9990-00(E1.5bln), $1.0090-00(E1.0bln); Nov11 $1.0000(E1.4bln); Nov14 $1.0000(E1.2bln)
- USD/JPY: Nov10 Y144.30-50($1.1bln), Y147.00($1.2bln), Y150.00($1.9bln)
- GBP/USD: Nov10 $1.1600(Gbp969mln)
- EUR/JPY: Nov14 Y146.00(E1.4bln)
- USD/CAD: Nov11 C$1.3605-20($1.1bln)
- USD/CNY: Nov10 Cny7.1500($3.0bln), Cny7.2000($2.0bln), Cny7.2700($6.5bln), Cny7.2820($4.5bln)
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EURGBP TECHS: Still Trading Above The 50-Day EMA
Oct-10 12:20
- RES 4: 0.9292 High Sep 11 2020
- RES 3: 0.9066/9266 High Sep 28 / High Sep 26 and key resistance
- RES 2: 0.8980 High Sep 29
- RES 1: 0.8850 High Sep 30
- PRICE: 0.8779 @ 13:18 BST Oct 10
- SUP 1: 0.8664/49 50-day EMA / Low Oct 4 and a key support zone
- SUP 2: 0.8626 Low Sep 1
- SUP 3: 0.8559 76.4% retracement of the Aug 2 - Sep 26 rally
- SUP 4: 0.8522 Low Aug 30
EURGBP last week bounced off the 50-day EMA. The average intersects at 0.8664 and remains a key support. This level, together with 0.8649, the Oct 4 low, has defined an important short-term support zone where a break is required to reinstate the recent bearish price action. This would open 0.8559, a Fibonacci retracement. Initial resistance to watch is 0.8850, the Sep 30 high. A break would ease the bearish threat.
US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - US Daily Brief
Oct-10 12:05
- The FBI search of former President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence has made little impact on the national political environment.
- Senators Rick Scott (R-FL) and Tom Cotton (R-AK) will travel to Georgia tomorrow to campaign for the embattled Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker in his race against incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock (R-GA).
- The Biden administration has announced a raft of export controls on tech which could restrict China’s access to semiconductors and impede China’s ability to increase its military and technological capacity.
- Poll of the Day: A trend of increased female voting participation since the 1970s may nudge the midterm calculus towards Democrats.
Full article: https://roar-assets-auto.rbl.ms/documents/19213/MN...
OUTLOOK: What to Watch: Fed Speak From NABE Bank Conf
Oct-10 11:37
Tsys trading softer/near recent overnight lows with long end following Bunds lower. Very light volumes (TYZ2<130k) due to Columbus Day US bank holiday - full session for Globex, however, while holiday's in Japan, Korea, and Canada contributing to thin markets.
- No data today, but couple of Fed speakers on tap: Chicago Fed President Evans (0900ET) and Fed vice-chair Lael Brainard (1300ET) at NABE bank conference today.
- Later this week: Sep FOMC minutes on Wednesday at 1400ET, data focus on CPI Thursday at 0830ET.
- Geopol: German Gov't-Talks On Ukraine To Take Place Tuesday: Wires carrying confirmation from a German gov't spox stating that the G7 (of which Germany currently holds the presidency) will convene an emergency meeting on Tuesday to discuss the latest Russian missile attacks on Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities.
- Wires carrying comments from Russian President Vladimir Putin speaking to meeting of the Russian National Security Council: says attack on bridge linking Crimea to Russia is 'an act of terrorism' that was carried out by 'Ukrainian special services'. Alleges that Ukraine also tried to blow up Turkish stream pipeline.
