EURGBP largely held on to the week’s gains into the Friday close. Price has topped 0.8679, the Jul 1 high. The breach strengthens bullish conditions and exposes the key resistance at 0.8721, the Jun 15 high and an important bull trigger. Clearance of 0.8721 would confirm a resumption of the bull cycle that started early March. On the downside, initial firm support is seen at 0.8567, the Sep 6 low.
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EURGBP traded higher Tuesday and is holding on to its latest gains since bouncing off 0.8340, the Aug 2 low. The broader outlook is bearish and gains are considered corrective. Recent weakness reinforced a bearish theme and established a price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Moving average studies are in bear mode too. A continuation lower would open 0.8313, Apr 22 low. Initial firm resistance is 0.8476, the 50-day EMA.
+20,000 SFRU2 96.68/96.75 put spds, 1.0 vs. 96.885-.89/0.05%
GBPUSD surged on the back of the weaker US CPI release, taking out the first level of resistance at the 1.2192 50-day EMA. This puts prices close to the August highs, and further strength through 1.2293 would be a bullish development. 1.2332, the Jun 27 high, lies just above. Potential is also seen for a climb towards 1.2406, the Jun 16 high and the next key key resistance. Initial support to watch is 1.2004, Aug 5 low.