Key Inter-Meeting Fed Speak – Mar 2025

Mar-13 20:16By: Tim Cooper
Federal Reserve

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

Ahead of next week's Fed decision, we've published our summary of FOMC participant communications since the January FOMC meeting, including MNI's Hawk-Dove Matrix. 

  • The key theme of Fed communications since the January meeting is that participants from across the Hawk-Dove spectrum are in no hurry to adjust policy.
  • If anything, participants’ comments suggest the urgency to cut rates has only diminished since the January FOMC, and certainly since the December Dot Plot meeting showed a median of 2 rate cuts expected in 2025.
  • No member in the inter-meeting period supported a cut as soon as March.
  • And while none expressed conviction for a rate hike at any point, even the most dovish outlooks suggested only as many as 3 cuts this year.
     
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