NORWAY: July Inflation Due On Monday: Not Expected To Shift Norges Expectations

Aug-08 12:53

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Norwegian July inflation is due on Monday at 0700BST/0800CET. It is the last major macro datapoint b...

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EURIBOR OPTIONS: Latest Option Trades

Jul-09 12:48
  • ERU5 97.9375/97.8125ps, bought for 0.25 in 20.5k (ref 98.15).
  • ERH6 98.0625/98.1875/98.375/98.625 broken c condor vs ERH6 97.8125/97.6875/97.5625 p fly, bought the condor for 2.5 in 5k.

FED FUNDS FUTURES: Outsized Buyer Aug'25 FF

Jul-09 12:43
  • +100,000 FFQ5 at 95.685 (+0.00), the Aug'25 serial contract goes bid there.
  • Total volume 137,965, more than twice the first 5 contract volume combined.

US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Punts Tariffs And Pivots On Ukraine

Jul-09 12:23

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Executive summary:

  • President Donald Trump will hold a White House lunch today with the leaders of Gabon, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mauritania, and Senegal to discuss “commercial opportunities”.
  • Markets have largely shrugged off Trump’s latest tariff ultimatum, likely assessing that major trade partners will strike preliminary agreements before the new August 1 deadline or receive another extension.
  • Markets have been less sanguine about the prospect of a punitive new tariff on copper imports, designed to reshore copper production in the United States.
  • South Korea is eyeing an in-person meeting between Trump and President Lee Jae-myung. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said Tokyo and Washington will "swiftly proceed with negotiations towards the newly set August 1 deadline".
  • Trump told reporters yesterday he would "probably" tell the European Union within two days what tariff rate it can expect.
  • Trump's economic advisor, Kevin Hassett, has emerged as the slight favourite to be nominated as the next Fed chair.
  • Senate leaders are expected to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu this afternoon as negotiators in Qatar struggle to make a breakthrough on a Gaza ceasefire.
  • Trump is leaning closer to endorsing a new Russia sanctions package. The primary concern for the White House is how to calibrate secondary sanctions without dramatically increasing tensions with China and India.
  • Poll of the Day: Very few Americans support reducing or eliminating funding for social services.

Please find the full article attached below: US DAILY BRIEF