FOREX: JPY Crosses - Risk Sentiment Help The Crosses Higher

Jul-04 01:57

US Stocks surged with a better than expected NFP print as risk builds on the positive backdrop. The JPY underperformed overnight as the crosses began to move higher in response to the more positive risk sentiment and challenged a market that is long JPY.

  • EUR/JPY - Overnight range 169.51 - 170.61, Asia is trading around 170.20. The pair broke above 170.00 overnight and has regained the upward momentum. It has already had a decent move higher but with risk performing this should continue to do well.
  • GBP/JPY - Overnight range 196.22 - 198.10, Asia trades around 197.50. The pair bounced strongly off its support around 196.00 and while this support holds focus will turn back towards the 199.00/200.00 area. 
  • NZD/JPY - Overnight range 87.24 - 88.05, Asia is currently dealing 87.85. NZD/JPY is attempting to break above 88.00 if this can be sustained then the focus will turn back to the 90.00 area. 
  • CNH/JPY - Overnight range 20.0718 - 20.2517 Asia is currently trading around 20.1925. A big reversal from the 20.50/20.60 resistance area. In the middle of its recent range awaiting clearer direction with a bias to sell rallies.

Fig 1 : NZD/JPY Hourly Chart

image

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg Finance L.P

Historical bullets

CHINA PRESS: Zhejiang Province Issues Special Bond For Housing Projects

Jun-04 01:49

Zhejiang province has issued CNY1.6 billion of special bonds specifically for purchasing existing commercial housing, Yicai news agency has reported. Industry insiders said although the value amounted to only 3% of the special bonds issued by the province in total, the move had significant policy implications and the proportion may rise as related projects improve. The bonds were rated AAA and backed by provincial government credit, and would support eight affordable housing projects in Huzhou, Wenzhou, and Jiaxing. Zhejiang’s initiative provides a replicable model for de-stocking efforts in lower tier regions, according to Yan Yuejin, deputy director at E-house China Research Institute, who noted third- and fourth-tier cities face high housing inventory and slow sales.

CHINA PRESS: Small Banks Accelerate To Merge, Reorganise

Jun-04 01:49

Small and medium-sized banks are expected to accelerate merger and reorganisation activity aimed at improving quality, with the number of banking institutions likely to drop to 3,000 from a peak of 4,600, 21st Century Business Herald reported, citing analysts. Increasing numbers of rural banks will be merged and restructured into commercial bank branches, which will enhance service capabilities and risk resistance, the newspaper said, citing Dong Ximiao, chief researcher at Merchants Union Consumer Finance. In total, 184 small and medium-sized banks have been approved for merger or dissolution in the first five months this year, the herald noted.

CHINA PRESS: China’s Social Logistics Growth Slows In April

Jun-04 01:48

China’s social logistics value increased by 5.5% y/y in April, down 1.4 percentage points compared to March, as operations withstood the pressure of external shocks and maintained a generally stable and positive trend, according to Meng Yuan, an analyst at the China Logistics Information Center. In the first four months, the logistics value of industrial products increased by 5.7% y/y, down 0.2 pp compared to the first quarter, while in April, China’s e-commerce logistics index was 111 points, up 1.1 points from March.