(JAPTOB; A2 Stable/A+ Neg) (1/3 gov. owned, no uplift)
Looks like JAPTOB will stand down as well - there is some focus on the Yen (as a haven) ahead of tariffs. Relative attractiveness of Euro credit looks little changed for Japanese investors here; YTD JGBs have only caught up 7bps vs. 10yr bunds vs. 80bps against 10yr USTs - latter may weigh on $ demand. Positively, FX hedging costs are down against both (3m & 1yr forwards).
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The Italian manufacturing PMI registered a third consecutive increase from November’s low of 44.5, exceeding consensus expectations at 47.4 (vs 46.7 cons, 46.3 prior). The index has nonetheless been contractionary since March 2024, and does not suggest weak industrial production momentum is set to reverse in the near future.
Key notes from the release:
