This is an unwind from the G U5 3.9k at 92.56 before the syndication earlier.
STIR: Fed Implied Rates A Touch Softer One Day Out From CPI
Jun-10 10:44
Fed Funds implied rates are up to 1.5bp lower on the day for 2025 meetings, following a pullback off overnight highs in US equity futures following weakness in China and HK equities.
US-China talks in London have entered a second day today.
Cumulative cuts from 4.33% effective: 0bp Jun (next week), 3.5bp Jul, 18bp Sep, 30bp Oct and 46bp Dec.
The SOFR implied terminal yield of 3.355% (SFRZ6, -2bp) is back closer to ~100bp of cuts having closed Friday at ~90bp of cuts ahead.
Markets will be on headline watch today with a blank data docket after the earlier release of the NFIB small business survey. US CPI is in focus tomorrow (MNI Preview).