EU: INDIA-COM Laments Lack Of FTA Progress, Demures On Zapad Participation

• On the commodity front, a bull cycle in Gold remains intact and this is highlighted by moving average studies that remain in a bull-mode position. The sideways trend that has been in place since the Apr peak appears to be a corrective phase. A resumption of gains would open $3439.0, the Aug 23 high. Key resistance and the bull trigger is at $3500.1, the Apr 22 low. On the downside, first support to watch lies at $3268.2, the Jul 30 low.
• In the oil space, WTI futures remain in a clear bear cycle and the contract is trading closer to its recent lows. A key support at $62.84, the Jun 24 low, has been breached, strengthening a bearish theme. A continuation lower would open $58,17 the May 30 low. Key short-term resistance has been defined at $70.51, the Jul 30 high. Clearance of this level would cancel a bear theme. Initial resistance to watch is $64.94, the 50-day EMA.

RXU5 127 puts, paper pays 2.0 in 3.625k

• RES 4: 113-23   76.4% retracement of the Sep’24 - Jan’25 sell-off
• RES 3: 113-07   76.4% retracement of the Apr 7 - 11 sell-off 
• RES 2: 112-23   High May 1 
• RES 1: 112-15+ High Aug 5
• PRICE:‌‌ 111-25+ @ 11:52 BST Aug 18
• SUP 1: 111-10+ 50-day EMA         
• SUP 2: 110-23+/08+ Low Aug 1 / Low Jul 15 & 16
• SUP 3: 110-03   76.4% retracement of the May 22 - Jul 1 bull leg
• SUP 4: 109-28   Low Jun 6 and 11 

The underlying bullish theme in Treasury futures remains intact, supported by the recent clearance of the bull trigger at 112-12+, the Jul 1 high. A resumption of gains would open 112-23, the May 1 high and the next important resistance. Above 112-23, retracement levels are layered between 113-07 and 113-23. On the downside, key support is 110-08+, the low on Jul 15 and 16. First important support lies at 110-23+, the Aug 1 low.