US TSYS: TYA Probes Support Overnight On US-China Optimism, Heavy Supply Today
Oct-27 10:54
Treasuries have pared losses but still trade lower ahead of this week’s Trump-Xi meeting after encouraging headlines and agreements surrounding working meetings in Malaysia over the weekend.
Today sees heavy Treasury issuance headline an otherwise quieter docket, with 2Y and 5Y auctions as a result of month-end timing and Wednesday’s FOMC decision. President Trump is in Japan.
Cash yields are 1.7-2bp lower across the curve, with no sign of upcoming front-end/belly supply weighing on curves.
TYZ5 trades at 113-08+ (-05+) on reasonable cumulative volumes nearing 300k.
It shifts further away from post-CPI fleeting highs of 113-24 (which didn’t trouble resistance at 114-02, Oct 17 high) and has sustained moves below pre-CPI levels of ~113-11. Moving average studies highlight a bullish structure but the 113-04 seen overnight probed support at 113-06+ (20-day EMA), with a clearer breach then opening 112-30 (Oct 13 low).