OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - USDJPY Key Resistance Remains Exposed
Jul-29 10:10
In FX, EURUSD traded sharply lower Monday and the close at the day low strengthens a short-term bearish threat. Sights are on key support at the 50-day EMA, at 1.1560. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would signal a stronger reversal and the start of a correction. This would open 1.1431, 23.6% of the Feb 3 - Jul 1 bull cycle. Key resistance and the bull trigger is 1.1829, the Jul 1 high.
A bearish set-up in GBPUSD remains intact and Monday's move lower strengthens this theme. The bear trigger at 1.3365, the Jul 16 low, has been cleared. This confirms a resumption of the downleg that started Jul 1 and highlights a clear break of the trendline drawn from the Jan 13 low. The breach opens 1.3245, the May 19 low. Initial resistance is seen at 1.3472, the 50-day EMA.
A bull cycle in USDJPY remains in place. The latest recovery signals the end of the corrective phase between Jul 16 - 24. Attention is on key resistance and the bull trigger at 149.18, the Jul 16 high. Pivot support to monitor is 146.11, the 50-day EMA. A clear breach of it would instead signal scope for stronger reversal. First support is at 146.92, the 20-day EMA.
USD: The Dollar is still pairing earlier gains
Jul-29 09:49
The Dollar is now back to closer to flat against G10s on the Day, the SEK is still down 0.28%, but similar to other Currencies it is paring losses versus the Greenback.
Both the EUR and the Pound are slowly edging back towards their respective overnight highs.
Initial resistance in Cable moves down to 1.3380.
OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - S&P E-Minis Trend Needle Still Points North
Jul-29 09:42
In the equity space, the trend set-up S&P E-Minis is unchanged and remains bullish. Recent cycle highs confirm a resumption of the uptrend. Sights are on 6477.31,1.618 projection of the May 23 - Jun 11 - 23 price swing. Key support is at the 50-day EMA, at 6163.71. Support at the 20-day EMA is at 6313.51.
The trend condition in EUROSTOXX 50 futures remains bullish and short-term weakness for now, appears corrective. Support at 5281.00, the Jul 1 / 4 low, remains intact. A clear break of this level would strengthen a bearish threat. For bulls, a resumption of gains would refocus attention on key resistance and the bull trigger at 5486.00, the May 20 high. A clear breach of it would resume the bull cycle and open 5500.00.