USDJPY is holding on to this week’s gains. The pair has breached resistance at 156.74, the May 14 high and 157.00, 61.8% of the Apr 29 - May 3 sell-off. A continuation higher would open 157.99, the May 1 high. For bears, a reversal lower would refocus attention on 153.91, the 50-day EMA, and 152.97, trendline support drawn from the Dec 28 low. Clearance of these two price points would strengthen a bearish threat.
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The short-term trend condition in S&P E-Minis remains bearish and the latest recovery appears - for now - to be a correction. Last Friday’s bearish extension reinforced current short-term conditions. The contract has recently cleared 50-day EMA, signalling scope for a continuation lower. Sights are on 4907.57 next, a Fibonacci retracement. Firm resistance is 5153.25, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of the average would signal a possible reversal.