* RES 4: 0.8813 76.4% retracement of the Nov 14 - Jan 6 bear leg * RES 3: 0.8797 High Dec 17 * RES 2...
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The bull cycle in EURGBP that started Dec 9 remains in place and highlights a possible reversal of the Nov 14 - Dec 9 corrective phase. Key short-term support has been defined at 0.8721, the Dec 9 low. A break of this level would signal scope for a deeper retracement,and open 0.8706, a Fibonacci retracement. Initial firm resistance to watch is unchanged at 0.8802, the Dec 2 high. Clearance of this hurdle would be a bullish development.
The trend condition in GBPUSD remains bullish and for now, short-term pullbacks are considered corrective. A fresh cycle high today reinforces the bull theme. Attention is on 1.3452 (pierced), 61.8% of the Sep 17 - Nov 4 bear leg. A clear breach of this hurdle would strengthen a bull theme and open 1.3527, the Oct 1 high. Initial firm support is 1.3300, the 50-day EMA. Clearance of this average would highlight a possible reversal.
RRP usage slips to $1.523B with 7 counterparties this afternoon vs. Friday's $3.047B. Compares to December 12 low of $0.838B (lowest level since mid-March 2021); this years highest excess liquidity measure: $460.731B on June 30.
