At the Tokyo lunch break, JGB futures are weaker, -18 compared to the settlement levels.
- (Bloomberg) -- The Bank of Japan shrank its balance sheet by 2.3% to 716.1 trillion yen in the past 10 days.
- Impact of data
- Cash JGBs are little changed across benchmarks out to the 30-year and 1bp cheaper beyond. The benchmark 20-year yield is 0.6bp lower at 2.353% ahead of today's supply.
- Today’s 20-year JGB auction follows very poor results across key metrics at last month’s auction. The low price underperformed dealer forecasts, according to a Bloomberg poll. Moreover, the cover ratio decreased to 2.5007x from 2.9639x in the prior auction and the auction tail lengthened dramatically from 0.34 to 1.14 – the longest since 1987.
- Today’s 20-year JGB auction offers an outright yield approximately 10bps below last month’s level and 25bps below the cycle high.
- Moreover, the 10/20 yield curve remains near its recent high, its steepest since 1999.
- Today's auction also comes after a tentative ceasefire between Israel and Iran, diminishing any haven bid it potentially may have enjoyed.
- Swap rates are 1-2bps higher, with a steeper curve. Swap spreads are wider.