UKAs Dec25 are trending lower, weighed by losses in EUAs, with EUA-UKA correlation tightening to the highest level since late July. Meanwhile, UK equities gains are limiting carbon downsides, with FTSE100 rebounding following the selloff yesterday.
- UKA DEC 25 down 0.04% at 53.93 GBP/t CO2e
- NBP Gas OCT 25 up 0.2% at 78.19 GBp/therm
- FTSE 100 SEP 25 up 0.1% at 9151
- ICE UKA futures daily aggregate traded volume stood at 1,668 contracts in the previous session, down 13.09% compared with the 30-day average.
- The EUA Dec25 premium to the UK equivalent remained at a similar level at €11.59/t CO2e.
- Auction calendar for the day: The next UKA auction will clear at 14:00BST. The previous UKA auction cleared at 49.95 GBP/T at a 1.53 cover ratio.
- Correlation between EUA/UKA for 30-day period at 0.71.
- Correlation between UKA/TTF for 30-day period at 0.52.
- UK gas demand, including power generation and exports, is forecast at 112 mcm/d, below the five-year average, according to National Grid.
- The latest month-ahead ECMWF weather forecast has been revised-down slightly until 22 Sep and stands above average for most days.