BTP TECHS: (H6) Key Resistance Remains Exposed 

A reminder that Eurex is closed for trading in all derivatives today and tomorrow. Meanwhile, European/UK STIRs and bond futures/options listed on ICE Europe will close at 12:15 London today, with the exchange closed on Thursday 1 January 2026.

• RES 4: $4600.00 - Round number resistance
• RES 3: $4578.3 - 1.618 proj of the Oct 28 - Nov 13 - Nov 18 swing
• RES 2: $4549.9 - High Dec 26 and the bull trigger 
• RES 1: $4430.8 - Low Dec 23                     
• PRICE: $4325.3 @ 07:10 GMT Dec 31 
• SUP 1: $4274.7 - Intraday low 
• SUP 2: $4183.5 - 50-day EMA 
• SUP 3: $4109.7 - Low Nov 25 
• SUP 4: $3998.1 - Low Nov 18

The trend structure in Gold is unchanged, it remains bullish and a sharp sell-off this week appears corrective - for now. The trend is overbought and a deeper retracement would allow this condition to unwind. First support at $4324.8, the 20-day EMA, has been pierced. A clear break of the average would expose the 50-day EMA at $4183.5. For bulls, a resumption of gains would open $4578.3, a Fibonacci projection.

• RES 4: $70.16 - High Jun 23 and a key medium-term resistance 
• RES 3: $64.97 - High Sep 26
• RES 2: $61.25 - High Oct 24 and a key resistance  
• RES 1: $58.56 - 50-day EMA    
• PRICE: $57.89 @ 06:43 GMT Dec 31
• SUP 1: $54.89 - Low Dec 16
• SUP 2: $54.71 - Low Apr 9 and a key support
• SUP 3: $53.77 - 1.764 proj of the Jul 30 - Aug 13 - Sep 26 price swing
• SUP 4: $52.27 - 2.000 proj of the Jul 30 - Aug 13 - Sep 26 price swing   

The trend condition in WTI futures remains bearish and gains are considered corrective - for now. MA studies are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend. A key support and the bear trigger at $56.11, the Oct 17 low, has recently been breached. The break highlights a continuation of the downtrend and opens $53.77, a Fibonacci projection. Key S/T resistance is $61.25, the Oct 24 high. First resistance is at $58.56, the 50- day EMA.