BRAZIL: Guillen Reinforcing MPR Message, Valor on FX Swap Strategy

Sep-26 14:11
  • It is worth noting BCB Economic Policy Director Guillen is speaking at an event, where he says he will reinforce the message provided in the latest monetary policy report.
  • Separately, Valor international have released an article discussing that the BCB is not expected to roll over a small portion of foreign-exchange swap contracts maturing in early October.
  • The move has raised some suspicion among market participants over whether the monetary authority is preparing to once again carry out the so-called “casadão” transaction—a spot dollar sale combined with a purchase in the futures market. 

Historical bullets

GILTS: 30s Outperform Core Global Peers On The Day

Aug-27 14:08

30-Year gilts outperform Tsys and Buxl on the day, with Tsys impacted by ongoing questions surrounding Fed independence, while the Buxl has been impacted by spill over from French political risks/OAT weakness.

  • Gilts have perhaps received some insulation after DMO consultation minutes showed ongoing appetite for a shortening of the WAM on offer on the part of both gilt investors and GEMMS.
  • Note that 30-Year gilt yields have been unable to retest multi-decade highs registered back in April (5.659%).
  • Meanwhile, gilt futures have rebounded from fresh cycle lows registered just after the open.

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: $2B ESM 5Y SOFR Priced

Aug-27 14:07
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 08/27 $3B #Ontario 5Y SOFR +52
  • 08/27 $2B *ESM 5Y SOFR +39
  • 08/27 $1.25B Saudi Awwal 10NC5 +220

ESM ISSUANCE: USD2bln WNG New 5-Year: Allocations Out

Aug-27 13:54
  • USD2bln WNG of the new 5-year Sep-30 ESM-Bond
  • Spread set earlier at SOFR MS+39 (SA 30/360) (guidance was SOFR+40 Area, IPT was MS+42 area, that was equiv. to CT5 + ~7.3bp)
  • Books closed in excess of $13.3bn excl. JLM interest
  • Issuer: European Stability Mechanism (TICKER: ESM)
  • Issuer Ratings: Aaa (stable) (Moody's) / AAA (stable) (S&P) / AAA (stable) (Fitch)/ AAA (stable) (Scope)
  • Format: Registered Notes, Reg S (NSS) / 144A
  • Ranking: Senior, Unsecured, Unsubordinated
  • Listing: Luxembourg
  • Settlement: 4 September 2025 (T+6 (TARGET) / T+5 (NY))
  • Maturity Date: 4 September 2030 (5Y)
  • HR 101% vs CT5 (T 3 ⅞ 07/31/30 )
  • ISIN: Reg S: XS3171756128 / 144A: US29881WAG78
  • Coupon: Fixed, Semi-annual, 30/360, Following, Unadjusted
  • Bookrunners: CACIB(DM/B&D) / DB / JPM
  • Timing: Hedge deadline 15.30CET / 14.30UKT / 9.30EST
From market source and Bloomberg.

The transaction comes ahead of a USD3bln redemption for the ESM in September. That line also had a 5-year maturity initially.